The read
Model: MIA by 0.1 · 236.3 total
Spread
CLE +2.5
2.4 pt edge
Game total
Over 235.5
0.8 pt edge
CLE total
Over 117.5
0.6 pt edge
MIA total
Under 118.5
0.3 pt edge
Moneyline lean MIA. Model against the spread this season: 70-88 (44%).
The situation
CLELast 5: 2-31 day restRoad game 3 in a row1,095 mi travel6-6 record2 out: Mobley, Merrill
MIALast 5: 3-22 days rest2,090 mi travel5-6 recordWon 2 straight2 out: Thompson, Larsson
Tale of the tape
116.4
115.7
46.4%
46.2%
36.9%
33.6%
15.2
13.4
75.4%
72.3%
18.7
19.4
10.8
10
34.8
31.8
26.6
28.7
13
14.4
7.6
8.2
5.8
5.1
20.8
20.8
116
117.8
47.0%
47.1%
36.8%
32.7%
14.7
13.5
77.4%
69.6%
17.7
17.8
9.7
11.5
34.3
31.5
25.7
28.8
12.5
15
7.3
8
6.3
4.8
20.3
21.2
Points, recent
Last 3: 108 vs 109.7Last 5: 111.8 vs 112.6Last 10: 116.6 vs 116.7
Projected lineups
Season per-game averages
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | James Harden | 16 | 4 | 5 | 38% |
| SG | Donovan Mitchell | 22 | 5 | 5 | 49% |
| SF | Peyton Watson | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36% |
| PF | Jaylon Tyson | 7 | 3 | 2 | 36% |
| C | Jarrett Allen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 58% |
Miami Heat
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Davion Mitchell | 16 | 2 | 8 | 52% |
| SG | Klay Thompson Out | 14 | 1 | 1 | 40% |
| SF | Pelle Larsson Out | 11 | 3 | 3 | 45% |
| PF | Giannis Antetokounmpo | 27 | 12 | 5 | 56% |
| C | Bam Adebayo | 17 | 8 | 3 | 47% |
Recent games
CLE
- W11/11@ New York Knicks 115-107
- L11/09@ Charlotte Hornets 112-124
- L11/07vs New York Knicks 97-109
- W11/06vs Philadelphia 76ers 119-95
- L11/04@ Oklahoma City Thunder 116-124
- L11/02vs Oklahoma City Thunder 112-117
- W10/31@ Milwaukee Bucks 136-111
- L10/29@ Atlanta Hawks 111-114
- W10/28vs Washington Wizards 121-111
- W10/26vs Minnesota Timberwolves 127-125
MIA
- W11/10@ Utah Jazz 115-109
- W11/08@ Sacramento Kings 114-108
- L11/05@ Golden State Warriors 100-120
- W11/04@ Los Angeles Clippers 117-116
- L11/02@ Los Angeles Lakers 117-138
- W10/30vs Indiana Pacers 145-125
- W10/28@ Atlanta Hawks 129-117
- L10/26vs Dallas Mavericks 109-113
- L10/24@ Charlotte Hornets 110-115
- L10/23vs Detroit Pistons 111-128
Injury report
Latest update Nov 13, 2026
CLE
-
OutEvan MobleyNov 12
Mobley (toe) is out for Friday's game against the Heat.
-
OutNae'Qwan TomlinOct 20
Tomlin is set to miss several weeks with a lower back stress reaction, Chris Fedor of The Cleveland Plain Dealer reports.
-
OutSam MerrillNov 10
Merrill (elbow) is listed as out for Wednesday's game against the Knicks.
MIA
-
OutKlay ThompsonNov 13
Thompson (ankle) is out for Friday's game against the Cavaliers.
-
OutPelle LarssonNov 13
Larsson (illness) is out for Friday's game against Cleveland.
Quarters & race to
| Per game | 1st Q | 2nd Q | 3rd Q | 4th Q | Paint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 29.3 | 27.5 | 29.6 | 28.9 | 45.3 |
| MIA | 31 | 29.7 | 25.6 | 28.5 | 47.3 |
First to 10 / 15 this season
| CLE | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 8 of 12 67% | 4 of 11 36% |
| First to 10, Q2 | 5 of 12 42% | 5 of 11 45% |
| First to 10, Q3 | 6 of 12 50% | 5 of 11 45% |
| First to 10, Q4 | 7 of 12 58% | 5 of 11 45% |
| First to 15, Q1 | 8 of 12 67% | 5 of 11 45% |
| First to 15, Q2 | 5 of 12 42% | 7 of 11 64% |
| First to 15, Q3 | 6 of 12 50% | 4 of 11 36% |
| First to 15, Q4 | 7 of 12 58% | 4 of 11 36% |