The read
Model: MIN by 7 · 225 totalMoneyline lean MIN. Model against the spread this season: 24-16 (60%). Early season: 4 games played, so projections swing more than usual.
The situation
GSLast 5: 1-3
MINLast 5: 3-1Tale of the tape
Small sample: 4 games so far.
Projected lineups
Season per-game averages
Golden State Warriors
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Stephen Curry | 28 | 4 | 3 | 55% |
| SG | Brandin Podziemski | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33% |
| SF | Yaxel Lendeborg | 22 | 9 | 4 | 46% |
| PF | Gui Santos Out | 7 | 3 | 1 | 38% |
| C | Draymond Green | 2 | 4 | 5 | 32% |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | LaMelo Ball | 13 | 2 | 6 | 41% |
| SG | Ayo Dosunmu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 50% |
| SF | Jonathan Kuminga | 13 | 5 | 3 | 46% |
| PF | Jaden McDaniels | 15 | 6 | 3 | 57% |
| C | Rudy Gobert | 6 | 12 | 1 | 35% |
Recent games
GS
- W10/26@ Denver Nuggets 134-114
- L10/24@ Phoenix Suns 122-131
- L10/23vs Memphis Grizzlies 108-111
- L10/21@ Los Angeles Lakers 105-127
MIN
- L10/26@ Cleveland Cavaliers 125-127
- W10/25vs Toronto Raptors 117-94
- W10/23@ Orlando Magic 115-93
- W10/21@ Miami Heat 131-106
Injury report
Latest update Oct 28, 2026
GS
-
OutGui SantosOct 28
Santos has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Timberwolves due to left knee tendinitis.
-
OutJimmy Butler IIIOct 16
Butler (knee) could return sometime between January and February as he continues recovering from a torn right ACL, Anthony Slater of…
-
OutKristaps PorzingisOct 28
The Warriors are exploring potential trades involving Porzingis (personal), who remains away from the team indefinitely while dealing…
-
OutMoses MoodyOct 16
Moody (knee) is progressing toward a potential return between December and January after rupturing his left patellar tendon in March,…
MIN
-
OutAnthony EdwardsOct 27
Edwards will undergo arthroscopic right knee surgery and is expected to miss up to two months, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
-
OutDonte DiVincenzoOct 05
DiVincenzo (Achilles) remains confident that he'll return during the 2026-27 season, Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic reports.
Quarters & race to
| Per game | 1st Q | 2nd Q | 3rd Q | 4th Q | Paint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 30 | 25.5 | 32 | 29.8 | 44.5 |
| MIN | 30.8 | 29.5 | 30 | 28.8 | 49.5 |
First to 10 / 15 this season
| GS | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 2 of 5 40% | 5 of 5 100% |
| First to 10, Q2 | 1 of 5 20% | 5 of 5 100% |
| First to 10, Q3 | 2 of 5 40% | 1 of 5 20% |
| First to 10, Q4 | 5 of 5 100% | 2 of 5 40% |
| First to 15, Q1 | 2 of 5 40% | 5 of 5 100% |
| First to 15, Q2 | 1 of 5 20% | 4 of 5 80% |
| First to 15, Q3 | 3 of 5 60% | 3 of 5 60% |
| First to 15, Q4 | 2 of 5 40% | 3 of 5 60% |
Head to head
| Meetings | GS first | MIN first | |
|---|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 14 | 9 (64%) | 5 (36%) |
| First to 10, Q2 | 14 | 4 (29%) | 10 (71%) |
| First to 10, Q3 | 14 | 10 (71%) | 4 (29%) |
| First to 10, Q4 | 14 | 6 (43%) | 8 (57%) |
| First to 15, Q1 | 14 | 7 (50%) | 7 (50%) |
| First to 15, Q2 | 14 | 5 (36%) | 9 (64%) |
| First to 15, Q3 | 14 | 10 (71%) | 4 (29%) |
| First to 15, Q4 | 14 | 4 (29%) | 10 (71%) |
Meetings through Oct 28, 2026.