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Away · 4-0 Oklahoma City Thunder
Model 118
Home · 2-2 Dallas Mavericks
Model 110

The read

Model: OKC by 8 · 228 total
Spread OKC -6.5 Model OKC by 8 · line DAL +6.5 1.5 pt edge
Game total Under 229.5 Model 228 pts · line 229.5 1.5 pt edge
OKC total Over 117.5 Model 118 pts · line 117.5 0.5 pt edge
DAL total Under 112.5 Model 110 pts · line 112.5 2.5 pt edge

Moneyline lean OKC. Model against the spread this season: 24-16 (60%). Early season: 4 games played, so projections swing more than usual.

The situation

OKCLast 5: 4-0
1 day rest189 mi travel4-0 recordWon 4 straight7 out: Caruso, Wallace, Holmgren…
DALLast 5: 2-2
1 day rest1,112 mi travel2-2 record5 out: II, Marshall, Aldama…

Tale of the tape

111.2 112.5
44.6% 49.6%
34.6% 34.7%
11.2 12.5
87.5% 76.1%
17.5 13.5
13.2 10
33.8 33
23.2 26.8
13.8 17.2
9.5 10.2
7.8 7.8
20 23.2
Points, recent Last 3: 109.7 vs 113.3Last 5: 111.2 vs 112.5Last 10: 111.2 vs 112.5

Small sample: 4 games so far.

Projected lineups

Season per-game averages

Oklahoma City Thunder

PosPlayerPTSREBASTFG%
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 274348%
SG Jared McCain 111137%
SF Ajay Mitchell 163348%
PF Kenrich Williams 32067%
C Isaiah Hartenstein 98255%

Dallas Mavericks

PosPlayerPTSREBASTFG%
PG Kyrie Irving 193354%
SG Max Christie 94237%
SF Cooper Flagg 255659%
PF PJ Washington 157147%
C Daniel Gafford 65249%

Recent games

OKC

  • W10/26vs Phoenix Suns 125-114
  • W10/25vs Los Angeles Clippers 108-101
  • W10/22vs Denver Nuggets 96-84
  • W10/20@ San Antonio Spurs 116-104

DAL

  • W10/26@ Miami Heat 113-109
  • L10/24vs San Antonio Spurs 106-122
  • W10/23@ Indiana Pacers 121-105
  • L10/21@ Houston Rockets 110-128

Injury report

Latest update Oct 28, 2026

OKC

  • OutAlex CarusoOct 28

    Caruso (ankle) is expected to miss time due to an ankle sprain, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.

  • OutCason WallaceOct 26

    Wallace has been diagnosed with a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will require surgery, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.

  • OutChet HolmgrenOct 27

    Holmgren (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Mavericks.

  • OutJalen WilliamsOct 28

    Williams (leg) underwent successful surgery Wednesday to "address a fractured left fibula and reconstruction of ankle ligaments…

  • OutNikola TopicOct 27

    Topic (back) will remain on the inactive list for Wednesday's game in Dallas.

  • OutOtega OwehOct 23

    The Thunder plan to waive Oweh (Achilles) on Friday.

  • OutThomas SorberOct 27

    Sorber (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Mavericks.

DAL

  • OutDereck Lively IIOct 22

    Lively (foot) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Pacers.

  • OutNaji MarshallOct 28

    Marshall (illness) won't play in Wednesday's game against Oklahoma City.

  • OutSanti AldamaOct 28

    Aldama (knee) is out for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.

  • OutSergio de LarreaOct 27

    De Larrea (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.

  • OutTarik BiberovicOct 28

    Biberovic (knee) is out for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.

Quarters & race to
Per game1st Q2nd Q3rd Q4th QPaint
OKC28.526.33026.550.5
DAL312629.52653

First to 10 / 15 this season

OKCDAL
First to 10, Q1 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 50%
First to 10, Q2 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 50%
First to 10, Q3 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 25%
First to 10, Q4 3 of 4 75% 2 of 4 50%
First to 15, Q1 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 75%
First to 15, Q2 1 of 4 25% 2 of 4 50%
First to 15, Q3 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 25%
First to 15, Q4 3 of 4 75% 2 of 4 50%

Head to head

MeetingsOKC firstDAL first
First to 10, Q176 (86%)1 (14%)
First to 10, Q273 (43%)4 (57%)
First to 10, Q376 (86%)1 (14%)
First to 10, Q472 (29%)5 (71%)
First to 15, Q175 (71%)2 (29%)
First to 15, Q273 (43%)4 (57%)
First to 15, Q375 (71%)2 (29%)
First to 15, Q472 (29%)5 (71%)

Meetings through Mar 01, 2026.

League-wide quarter leaders →