The read
Model: DEN by 1 · 229 total
Spread
POR +4.5
3.5 pt edge
Game total
Under 230.5
1.5 pt edge
POR total
Over 113.5
0.5 pt edge
DEN total
Under 117.5
2.5 pt edge
Moneyline lean DEN. Model against the spread this season: 35-41 (46%).
The situation
PORLast 5: 4-11 day restRoad game 2 in a row371 mi travel4-1 record1 out: Morant
DENLast 5: 3-22 days rest586 mi travel3-2 recordWon 2 straight3 out: Diallo, Strawther, Jones
Tale of the tape
120.6
114
47.1%
47.1%
35.3%
37.4%
15.8
13
73.1%
78.9%
22.8
21
11.6
12
34.8
31.6
26
26.8
14.6
15.8
8.6
10.2
4.2
4.6
20.4
20
125.3
127.5
49.2%
49.2%
37.5%
32.9%
16
12.5
73.2%
80.6%
27.3
25
9.7
12
34
29.5
25.3
28.5
13.3
11
8.7
11
3
6.5
23.3
22.5
Points, recent
Last 3: 117 vs 115Last 5: 120.6 vs 114Last 10: 120.6 vs 114
Projected lineups
Season per-game averages
Portland Trail Blazers
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Damian Lillard | 19 | 4 | 3 | 39% |
| SG | Scoot Henderson | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28% |
| SF | Toumani Camara | 15 | 2 | 1 | 60% |
| PF | Deni Avdija | 23 | 6 | 5 | 49% |
| C | Donovan Clingan | 8 | 8 | 1 | 54% |
Denver Nuggets
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Jamal Murray | 25 | 5 | 5 | 46% |
| SG | Christian Braun | 15 | 4 | 2 | 51% |
| SF | Cameron Johnson | 8 | 5 | 2 | 53% |
| PF | Aaron Gordon | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37% |
| C | Nikola Jokic | 21 | 9 | 9 | 49% |
Recent games
POR
- W10/31@ Utah Jazz 112-90
- L10/29vs Memphis Grizzlies 103-124
- W10/27@ Los Angeles Lakers 136-129
- W10/23@ Sacramento Kings 128-120
- W10/21vs Phoenix Suns 124-83
DEN
- W10/30@ Phoenix Suns 127-120
- W10/28@ New Orleans Pelicans 104-91
- L10/26vs Golden State Warriors 114-134
- W10/24vs New Orleans Pelicans 141-135
- L10/22@ Oklahoma City Thunder 84-96
Injury report
Latest update Nov 01, 2026
POR
-
OutJa MorantOct 30
Morant has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 left hamstring strain and is expected to miss four weeks, Portland announced Friday.
-
OutShaedon SharpeAug 24
Sharpe suffered a torn meniscus in his knee and is expected to miss six months, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
DEN
-
OutAlpha DialloNov 01
Diallo (wrist) is listed as questionable for Monday's game versus Portland.
-
OutJulian StrawtherOct 17
Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver…
-
OutSpencer JonesNov 01
Jones (hamstring) is listed as out for Monday's game against the Trail Blazers.
Quarters & race to
| Per game | 1st Q | 2nd Q | 3rd Q | 4th Q | Paint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 30.8 | 32.4 | 33.4 | 24 | 47.6 |
| DEN | 30.4 | 27.4 | 26 | 27.2 | 42.8 |
First to 10 / 15 this season
| POR | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | – | 2 of 5 40% |
| First to 10, Q2 | – | 2 of 5 40% |
| First to 10, Q3 | – | 4 of 5 80% |
| First to 10, Q4 | – | 1 of 5 20% |
| First to 15, Q1 | – | 4 of 5 80% |
| First to 15, Q2 | – | 2 of 5 40% |
| First to 15, Q3 | – | 2 of 5 40% |
| First to 15, Q4 | – | 4 of 5 80% |