The read
Model: LAL by 1 · 237 total
Spread
MIA +2.5
1.5 pt edge
Game total
Under 237.5
0.5 pt edge
MIA total
Under 118.5
0.5 pt edge
LAL total
Under 120.5
1.5 pt edge
Moneyline lean LAL. Model against the spread this season: 35-41 (46%).
The situation
MIALast 5: 2-32 days rest2,339 mi travel2-4 recordWon 2 straight
LALLast 5: 3-2Back to backHome game 2 in a row5-2 record2 out: Thiero, Williams
Tale of the tape
118.3
120.3
47.5%
51.2%
34.1%
38.9%
13
14.3
73.3%
79.4%
18.3
23.7
11
10.1
32.5
29.9
28.8
23.3
14.5
17.9
8.3
10.4
5
6.7
20.8
23.3
119.5
128
48.4%
56.2%
37.5%
42.9%
12
15
81.2%
80.7%
19.5
23
10
8.2
34.5
30.8
29
27.8
13.5
19
9
10.2
5.5
6.2
20
24.2
Points, recent
Last 3: 127.7 vs 109.7Last 5: 120.8 vs 118Last 10: 118.3 vs 120.3
Projected lineups
Season per-game averages
Miami Heat
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Davion Mitchell | 16 | 1 | 8 | 49% |
| SG | Klay Thompson | 10 | 1 | 1 | 37% |
| SF | Andrew Wiggins | 10 | 3 | 1 | 47% |
| PF | Giannis Antetokounmpo | 28 | 12 | 5 | 58% |
| C | Bam Adebayo | 16 | 7 | 3 | 47% |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Luka Doncic | 37 | 8 | 7 | 47% |
| SG | Austin Reaves | 23 | 3 | 5 | 53% |
| SF | Matisse Thybulle | 9 | 1 | 1 | 47% |
| PF | Ziaire Williams Out | 11 | 3 | 2 | 60% |
| C | Walker Kessler | 14 | 9 | 1 | 72% |
Recent games
MIA
- W10/30vs Indiana Pacers 145-125
- W10/28@ Atlanta Hawks 129-117
- L10/26vs Dallas Mavericks 109-113
- L10/24@ Charlotte Hornets 110-115
- L10/23vs Detroit Pistons 111-128
- L10/21vs Minnesota Timberwolves 106-131
LAL
- W11/01vs Toronto Raptors 131-125
- L10/30@ Golden State Warriors 95-112
- W10/28@ Los Angeles Clippers 103-87
- L10/27vs Portland Trail Blazers 129-136
- W10/25@ Utah Jazz 132-123
- W10/23vs Los Angeles Clippers 125-117
- W10/21vs Golden State Warriors 127-105
Injury report
Latest update Nov 01, 2026
MIA
Nobody listed.
LAL
-
OutAdou ThieroNov 01
Thiero (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Raptors.
-
OutZiaire WilliamsNov 01
Williams (foot) is out for Sunday's game against the Raptors.
Quarters & race to
| Per game | 1st Q | 2nd Q | 3rd Q | 4th Q | Paint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 31 | 28.8 | 26.8 | 31.7 | 54.3 |
| LAL | 32.4 | 32.1 | 32.6 | 23.1 | 47.7 |
First to 10 / 15 this season
| MIA | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 2 of 6 33% | 6 of 7 86% |
| First to 10, Q2 | 3 of 6 50% | 3 of 7 43% |
| First to 10, Q3 | 3 of 6 50% | 5 of 7 71% |
| First to 10, Q4 | 3 of 6 50% | – |
| First to 15, Q1 | 2 of 6 33% | 3 of 7 43% |
| First to 15, Q2 | 4 of 6 67% | 3 of 7 43% |
| First to 15, Q3 | 2 of 6 33% | 5 of 7 71% |
| First to 15, Q4 | 3 of 6 50% | – |
Head to head
| Meetings | MIA first | LAL first | |
|---|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 4 | 3 (75%) | 1 (25%) |
| First to 10, Q2 | 4 | 2 (50%) | 2 (50%) |
| First to 10, Q3 | 4 | 2 (50%) | 2 (50%) |
| First to 10, Q4 | 4 | 0 (0%) | 4 (100%) |
| First to 15, Q1 | 4 | 3 (75%) | 1 (25%) |
| First to 15, Q2 | 4 | 2 (50%) | 2 (50%) |
| First to 15, Q3 | 4 | 2 (50%) | 2 (50%) |
| First to 15, Q4 | 4 | 2 (50%) | 2 (50%) |
Meetings through Mar 19, 2026.