The read
Model: MIA by 3.3 · 238.9 total
Spread
UTAH +8.5
5.2 pt edge
Game total
Over 227.5
11.4 pt edge
MIA total
Over 118.5
2.6 pt edge
UTAH total
Over 110.5
7.3 pt edge
Moneyline lean MIA. Model against the spread this season: 62-76 (45%).
The situation
MIALast 5: 3-21 day restRoad game 5 in a row532 mi travel4-6 record
UTAHLast 5: 0-51 day rest985 mi travel1-9 recordLost 8 straight3 out: Jr., Nurkic, George
Tale of the tape
115.8
106.2
46.9%
42.9%
34.0%
32.0%
13.5
11.5
71.8%
77.1%
18.1
19.5
10.2
12.3
31.8
32.8
29.2
24.3
15
16.9
8.2
7.1
5.2
6.3
20.9
23.4
114.5
109.8
46.7%
43.8%
34.9%
32.4%
13.5
11.8
73.3%
80.0%
18.3
20.8
9.3
13.4
32
33.2
29.5
26.4
15
17.2
8.3
5.6
5.5
5.4
20.7
23.8
Points, recent
Last 3: 110.3 vs 104.3Last 5: 118.6 vs 100Last 10: 115.8 vs 106.2
Projected lineups
Season per-game averages
Miami Heat
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Davion Mitchell | 16 | 1 | 8 | 54% |
| SG | Klay Thompson | 14 | 1 | 1 | 42% |
| SF | Andrew Wiggins | 8 | 3 | 1 | 38% |
| PF | Giannis Antetokounmpo Day-To-Day | 27 | 12 | 5 | 56% |
| C | Bam Adebayo | 18 | 8 | 3 | 51% |
Utah Jazz
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Isaiah Collier | 6 | 3 | 4 | 46% |
| SG | Darryn Peterson | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39% |
| SF | Ace Bailey | 11 | 6 | 1 | 44% |
| PF | Lauri Markkanen Day-To-Day | 18 | 6 | 2 | 34% |
| C | Jaxson Hayes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 59% |
Recent games
MIA
- W11/08@ Sacramento Kings 114-108
- L11/05@ Golden State Warriors 100-120
- W11/04@ Los Angeles Clippers 117-116
- L11/02@ Los Angeles Lakers 117-138
- W10/30vs Indiana Pacers 145-125
- W10/28@ Atlanta Hawks 129-117
- L10/26vs Dallas Mavericks 109-113
- L10/24@ Charlotte Hornets 110-115
- L10/23vs Detroit Pistons 111-128
- L10/21vs Minnesota Timberwolves 106-131
UTAH
- L11/08@ Minnesota Timberwolves 100-115
- L11/06@ Dallas Mavericks 100-112
- L11/04@ New Orleans Pelicans 113-120
- L11/02@ San Antonio Spurs 97-119
- L10/31vs Portland Trail Blazers 90-112
- L10/28vs San Antonio Spurs 111-117
- L10/26vs Memphis Grizzlies 105-110
- L10/25vs Los Angeles Lakers 123-132
- W10/23vs New Orleans Pelicans 120-119
- L10/21@ Memphis Grizzlies 103-123
Injury report
Latest update Nov 10, 2026
MIA
-
Day-To-DayGiannis AntetokounmpoNov 09
Antetokounmpo is probable for Tuesday's game against the Jazz due to a right wrist sprain.
UTAH
-
OutJaren Jackson Jr.Oct 27
Jackson has been diagnosed with a torn MCL in his right knee and will be sidelined for 6-to-8 weeks, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
-
OutJusuf NurkicNov 06
Nurkic (toe) has begun participating in on-court activities as he continues recovering from a right foot injury sustained during an Oct.…
-
OutKeyonte GeorgeNov 10
George (ankle) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Heat.
-
Day-To-DayLauri MarkkanenNov 10
Markkanen (wrist) is questionable for Tuesday's game against Miami.
Quarters & race to
| Per game | 1st Q | 2nd Q | 3rd Q | 4th Q | Paint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 31.2 | 29.2 | 25.4 | 29 | 48.8 |
| UTAH | 27.3 | 25.4 | 26.6 | 25.4 | 44 |
First to 10 / 15 this season
| MIA | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 4 of 10 40% | 6 of 10 60% |
| First to 10, Q2 | 4 of 10 40% | 3 of 10 30% |
| First to 10, Q3 | 4 of 10 40% | 3 of 10 30% |
| First to 10, Q4 | 5 of 10 50% | 7 of 10 70% |
| First to 15, Q1 | 4 of 10 40% | 6 of 10 60% |
| First to 15, Q2 | 6 of 10 60% | 3 of 10 30% |
| First to 15, Q3 | 3 of 10 30% | 3 of 10 30% |
| First to 15, Q4 | 4 of 10 40% | 7 of 10 70% |