The read
Model: MIN by 6.8 · 227.2 total
Spread
MIN -5.5
1.3 pt edge
Game total
Over 226.5
0.7 pt edge
DAL total
Under 111.5
1.3 pt edge
MIN total
Over 116.5
0.5 pt edge
Moneyline lean MIN. Model against the spread this season: 68-86 (44%).
The situation
DALLast 5: 3-22 days rest864 mi travel7-4 recordWon 3 straight3 out: II, Larrea, Biberovic
MINLast 5: 4-13 days restHome game 2 in a row8-3 recordWon 4 straight1 out: Edwards
Tale of the tape
114.9
118.1
47.8%
47.3%
34.6%
37.2%
12.4
14.6
78.2%
67.2%
18.6
17.4
12.6
14.4
32.1
34.3
26.3
25.6
15.4
15.2
8.7
8.7
5.6
5.1
22.4
22.6
113.8
117
46.0%
48.9%
34.6%
38.8%
13.2
15.2
76.4%
68.6%
17
16.6
12.5
11.8
32.5
35.8
27
26
14.8
16.4
9.5
8.4
7.2
5.4
24.8
22.6
Points, recent
Last 3: 122.3 vs 115.7Last 5: 115.6 vs 114Last 10: 115.4 vs 116.8
Projected lineups
Season per-game averages
Dallas Mavericks
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Kyrie Irving | 22 | 3 | 4 | 51% |
| SG | Caleb Martin | 3 | 2 | 1 | 28% |
| SF | Cooper Flagg | 25 | 6 | 6 | 51% |
| PF | PJ Washington | 14 | 7 | 1 | 41% |
| C | Daniel Gafford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 65% |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | LaMelo Ball | 18 | 3 | 6 | 44% |
| SG | Ayo Dosunmu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52% |
| SF | Jonathan Kuminga | 12 | 5 | 2 | 43% |
| PF | Jaden McDaniels | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53% |
| C | Rudy Gobert | 7 | 12 | 1 | 51% |
Recent games
DAL
- W11/09vs Indiana Pacers 125-122
- W11/08vs Brooklyn Nets 130-93
- W11/06vs Utah Jazz 112-100
- L11/04@ San Antonio Spurs 111-112
- L11/02vs Sacramento Kings 100-115
- W10/30vs Houston Rockets 116-111
- W10/28vs Oklahoma City Thunder 120-96
- W10/26@ Miami Heat 113-109
- L10/24vs San Antonio Spurs 106-122
- W10/23@ Indiana Pacers 121-105
MIN
- W11/08vs Utah Jazz 115-100
- W11/06@ New Orleans Pelicans 115-109
- W11/04@ Houston Rockets 117-107
- W11/02vs Milwaukee Bucks 112-100
- L10/31@ San Antonio Spurs 111-121
- W10/30vs Los Angeles Clippers 127-101
- L10/28vs Golden State Warriors 114-119
- L10/26@ Cleveland Cavaliers 125-127
- W10/25vs Toronto Raptors 117-94
- W10/23@ Orlando Magic 115-93
Injury report
Latest update Nov 11, 2026
DAL
-
OutDereck Lively IINov 11
Lively (foot) is listed as out for Thursday's game in Minnesota.
-
OutSergio de LarreaNov 11
De Larrea (knee) has been ruled out for Thursday's game at Minnesota.
-
OutTarik BiberovicNov 11
Biberovic (heel) is out for Thursday's game against Minnesota.
MIN
-
OutAnthony EdwardsOct 29
Edwards underwent a successful arthroscopic procedure on his right knee Thursday, the Timberwolves announced.
-
OutDonte DiVincenzoOct 05
DiVincenzo (Achilles) remains confident that he'll return during the 2026-27 season, Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic reports.
Quarters & race to
| Per game | 1st Q | 2nd Q | 3rd Q | 4th Q | Paint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 28.5 | 27.9 | 29.9 | 28.6 | 48.9 |
| MIN | 29.5 | 28.5 | 29 | 30 | 50.4 |
First to 10 / 15 this season
| DAL | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 6 of 11 55% | 8 of 11 73% |
| First to 10, Q2 | 6 of 11 55% | 8 of 11 73% |
| First to 10, Q3 | 7 of 11 64% | 2 of 11 18% |
| First to 10, Q4 | 6 of 11 55% | 4 of 11 36% |
| First to 15, Q1 | 6 of 11 55% | 7 of 11 64% |
| First to 15, Q2 | 6 of 11 55% | 7 of 11 64% |
| First to 15, Q3 | 7 of 11 64% | 4 of 11 36% |
| First to 15, Q4 | 6 of 11 55% | 8 of 11 73% |