The read
Model: DET by 6.3 · 235.5 total
Spread
DET -4.5
1.8 pt edge
Game total
Over 229.5
6 pt edge
DET total
Over 116.5
4.4 pt edge
MIA total
Over 112.5
2.1 pt edge
Moneyline lean DET. Model against the spread this season: 73-94 (44%).
The situation
DETLast 5: 3-21 day restRoad game 2 in a row926 mi travel8-3 recordWon 2 straight2 out: Joe, Duren
MIALast 5: 4-1Back to backHome game 2 in a row6-6 recordWon 3 straight1 out: Larsson
Tale of the tape
115.5
117.2
46.9%
46.7%
37.0%
33.7%
13.7
13.2
78.0%
73.0%
19.6
20.2
11.3
10.2
33.1
31.9
27.4
29.4
13.6
13.9
9.6
7.6
6.6
4.8
23.4
20.8
118.2
120.8
47.9%
48.1%
37.8%
33.2%
14
13.2
74.8%
71.9%
18.8
20
11.7
11.8
34.5
31.8
27.5
30.4
14.2
13.8
9.8
6.6
7.5
4.2
22.3
21
Points, recent
Last 3: 127.3 vs 120.7Last 5: 122.4 vs 115.8Last 10: 115 vs 118.9
Projected lineups
Season per-game averages
Detroit Pistons
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Cade Cunningham | 25 | 5 | 7 | 48% |
| SG | Daniss Jenkins | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43% |
| SF | Duncan Robinson | 18 | 1 | 2 | 46% |
| PF | Ausar Thompson | 10 | 8 | 5 | 50% |
| C | John Collins | 10 | 5 | 0 | 44% |
Miami Heat
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Davion Mitchell | 16 | 2 | 9 | 52% |
| SG | Klay Thompson | 13 | 1 | 1 | 37% |
| SF | Pelle Larsson Out | 11 | 3 | 3 | 45% |
| PF | Giannis Antetokounmpo | 28 | 12 | 4 | 58% |
| C | Bam Adebayo | 19 | 8 | 3 | 49% |
Recent games
DET
- W11/12@ Washington Wizards 144-140
- W11/09vs Washington Wizards 122-111
- L11/08vs Los Angeles Lakers 116-121
- L11/04vs Philadelphia 76ers 106-112
- W11/02@ Charlotte Hornets 124-91
- W10/30@ Brooklyn Nets 110-94
- W10/28vs Charlotte Hornets 97-89
- L10/27@ New York Knicks 97-111
- W10/25@ Philadelphia 76ers 106-93
- W10/23@ Miami Heat 128-111
MIA
- W11/13vs Cleveland Cavaliers 133-121
- W11/10@ Utah Jazz 115-109
- W11/08@ Sacramento Kings 114-108
- L11/05@ Golden State Warriors 100-120
- W11/04@ Los Angeles Clippers 117-116
- L11/02@ Los Angeles Lakers 117-138
- W10/30vs Indiana Pacers 145-125
- W10/28@ Atlanta Hawks 129-117
- L10/26vs Dallas Mavericks 109-113
- L10/24@ Charlotte Hornets 110-115
Injury report
Latest update Nov 14, 2026
DET
-
OutIsaiah JoeNov 09
Joe (hip) is out for Monday against the Wizards.
-
OutJalen DurenNov 08
Duren (hamstring) has begun on-court activity and will be re-evaluated in two weeks, Hunter Patterson of The Athletic reports.
-
Day-To-DayUgonna OnyensoNov 11
Onyenso agreed to a two-way contract with the Pistons on Thursday.
MIA
-
OutPelle LarssonNov 14
Larsson (illness) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Pistons.
Quarters & race to
| Per game | 1st Q | 2nd Q | 3rd Q | 4th Q | Paint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 28 | 26.8 | 31.2 | 27.5 | 46.7 |
| MIA | 30.8 | 29.3 | 26.7 | 29.5 | 48 |
First to 10 / 15 this season
| DET | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 5 of 11 45% | 5 of 12 42% |
| First to 10, Q2 | 6 of 11 55% | 6 of 12 50% |
| First to 10, Q3 | 5 of 11 45% | 6 of 12 50% |
| First to 10, Q4 | 5 of 11 45% | 6 of 12 50% |
| First to 15, Q1 | 7 of 11 64% | 6 of 12 50% |
| First to 15, Q2 | 5 of 11 45% | 7 of 12 58% |
| First to 15, Q3 | 6 of 11 55% | 5 of 12 42% |
| First to 15, Q4 | 6 of 11 55% | 5 of 12 42% |